Message #1417 From:
TheMachine Date: July 16, 2008 03:25:09 AM
Immersion Corporation The Haptics, VibeTonz and TouchSense company
Contracts with Nokia, Samsung, LG, Medtronic, VW, BMW,
Microsoft, Sony & 3M’s touch screen division to name a few.
Enjoys over $4.00 in cash per share and 25+% growth year
over year, 700+ patents in the area of haptic (leader in tactile feedback)
technology.Majority of business is
outside of the United States.Beneficiaries from haptics include consumer
electronics, automotive and critical application training environments.
Consumer electronics are purchased / upgraded when new
features become available to the consumer. The touch screen revolution has
inadvertently removed the tactile sensation of depressing a button (Immersion’s
haptic patents address the lack of tactile feedback).Touch screens provide greater screen geography
and when manufactured in quantity there should be a reduction in production
cost: Combined with the ease of reprogramming the look of the finished
product.These two aspects suggest the
consumer will be offered touch screen devices if they like the interface or
not. Strategy Analytics projects 40% of
all cell phones will use touch screens by 2012.
Immersion’s Mobility
Division is a perfect storm.In
December 2006 Immersion’s Vibetonz technology was used in only 5 cellular
telephones.Current count is more than
50 cell phones.The www.vibetonz.com web site is managed by
Immersion Corporation however it is not updated as quickly as the new phones
hit the market.The New LG “Dare” and
Samsung “Instinct” are examples of commercially available products not listed.
The convergence of MP3 and Digital Video players, Digital
Cameras, Navigation Devices, Televisions and Mobile Internet with Instant
Messaging, Text Messaging and Cellular Telephones fuels the need for increased
screen geography.The pull of increased
screen geography for these pocket sized mobility devices drives the need for
haptics.
July 3rd 2007 Nokia the 800 pound Gorilla of the Cell Phone
industry signed on with Immersion and will be shipping the first of many
Vibetonz phones in the U.S.
during the second half of 2008.First
Quarter 2008 Nokia enjoyed a 39.1% world wide market share. During an earlier Immersion conference call
Vic Viegas of Immersion said Nokia’s pricing structure has discounts for volume
to encourage a greater installed base of Vibetonz enabled phones.I anticipate (pure speculation on the
author’s behalf) a deluge of Nokia touch screen phones on the market by year
end.If I am correct (?) this could
easily translate into fifty million units sold in 2008.
Samsung ranked #2 and LG #4 on the list of cell phone makers
are licensees of Immersion’s Patents.Their products make up most of the products listed on the www.vibetonz.com web site.Samsung recently replaced Motorola in the #2
position and LG’s Voyager was last Christmas’s iPhone killer.Mobility licensing revenues increased by
1000+% over 2006; granted 2007 enjoyed the beginnings of the touch screen
revolution and 2006 numbers were small…..never the less the 2007 trend is
difficult to debunk. Call me a “Pump and Dump” promoter but in my mind 2008 growth
is bound to impress.
The 2007 Immersion Annual Report states on page 4 of the
.pdf; “In February 2008, we announced that 10 million mobile phones with
Vibetonz Technology have been shipped by our licensees, including over 5.5
million shipped in 2007”If you recall
my earlier remarks concerning the number of Vibetonz enabled phones listed on
the www.vibetonz.com web site in
December 2006….I think it is a conservative estimate to say that the first 6
weeks of 2008 equates to close to 4 million units.The touch screen volume exploded following
the introduction of the iPhone and the majority of the cell phones sold prior
to the iPhone release loaded with Vibetonz were specialty “Gaming” phones.Do the Math!!!2008 numbers should be much stronger than the
street expects and remember licensing revenue is pure profit.
The Apple iPhone 3G hardware appears (?) to be loaded with
the Immersion approved actuator.If you
read the recent Walter Mossberg iPhone 3G write up in the Wall Street
Journal.Mossberg states the iPhone 3G
has the ability to provide variable frequency haptics when playing a game.It is my belief (not shared by everyone) that
Apple and Immersion have not agreed on price….otherwise we would hear more
about this alliance.A friend suggested
an alternate method of creating the feel of variable frequency haptics by
starting and stopping the actuators rotations.Granted this would be a sleazy work around but the trickery might
satisfy the unsophisticated investor.Perhaps a wireless wizard might help us mortals?
3M touch screen division (applications includes casino
gaming, ATM’s, Kiosks and waiter and waitress stations).As of the third quarter 2007 “thousands of
units shipped” to quote Immersion Chairman Victor Viegas in the 2nd
Quarter 2007 conference call.My
interpretation is sales are ramping up as old inventory at 3M is exhausted.May 29th 2008 3M Touch Systems
received top honors from Casino Journal because adding haptics to new and old
video slots improves the user experience.
2.) Medtronic and Immersion’s Medical division are
distributing Immersion Medical simulation products.In 2008 Immersion is attending over 30 trade
shows.Current product offerings include (list is
incomplete):
a. Endoscopy
AccuTouch® System
b. Endovascular AccuTouch® System
c. LapVR™ Surgical Simulator
(Laproscopy)
d. Virtual I.V. Self-Directed
Learning System
e. InsightArthroVR™ arthroscopy
surgical simulator
f. SimCapture medical simulation
training management
The Medical Division harvests the great Einstein quote,
“Linear thinking is the slave and intuition is the gift; society honors the
slave and ignores the gift”.The Medical
community is now recognizing great doctors not only need to pass the required
written tests but they must also be capable of snaking a catheter through a
vein deep inside a human body.As a
Chiropractor friend said to me, “there is no guarantee an “A” student possesses
the physical dexterity to properly adjust a patient’s lower back”.Immersion’s Medical Division produces
numerous simulators to bridge the gap between the left brain theoretical
practice and right brain practical exercise while reducing malpractice claims
and worse.My limited research suggests
Medical schools are now taking an interest in simulators and this Immersion
Division is positioned to benefit from this trend.Lastly Immersion is pursuing legal action
against a competing Medical Simulation Device provider for Patent
infringement.Morgan Chuhttp://www.irell.com/professionals-22.htmlwill again pursue the wrong doers for
Immersion.In Morgan Chu we trust!.
Written by a long time Immersion
Stock Holder, I have been following this story since 2002 and never has
the stock been a better buy, in my honest opinion. Please do your own
due diligence, and consult a broker before making any investment
decision.